When I was little, the farmers in my village can begin to predict when the rainy season and when to end with a relatively accurate. With rainfall pattern that is easy on this prediction, the farmers can optimize cropping fields.
Now the predictions when it began to rain and when the end became too difficult for even professionals, often rain fell in the wrong season. Should have been dry, the rain still fell heavily. Instead ensued - should the rainy season, but rain does not fall down.
Many factors cause this to happen, the destruction of nature that disrupt the cycle of changes in water, air pollution to global warming among the scapegoats. What is clear is the damage this season we can not blame to anyone, other than to our own selves (human) inhabitants of this planet as the following verse:
"... .. And when they are overwritten something unfortunate (danger) due to errors that have been done by their own hand, suddenly they were in despair. "(Surah 30: 36)
"And what calamities that befall you it is caused by the act of your own hands, and God forgive most (from your mistakes)." (Surah 42: 30)
The difficulty to predict this season also happened to predictions of commodity prices, stock prices and gold price fluctuations as well. In my article about the Season to Buy Gold Dinar do I describe the seasonal pattern for the world gold price, is based on the basic theory that the prices established by supply and demand mechanism.
What is happening in the market is supply and demand mechanism remains a role to form the price, but the factors driving supply and demand driving his now sometimes become too complex. No longer confined to economic factors, but it comes to political issues and security that are both local and global.
So even though now until September is supposed to be the dry season, which coincides with spring and summer in the northern hemisphere - are also supposed to coincide with the low gold price on the basis of the theory in my article mentioned above; still not closed the possibility of 'heavy rain' sudden suddenly appeared.
'Clouds' that could lead to 'rain' began to form everywhere. 'Clouds' which would could lead to 'rain of the season' on the world gold price - among others is the potential bankruptcy of giant U.S. companies, a recurrence of the current banking crisis does not recover until the failure of therapy a la crisis Obamanomics. All these factors could push the gold price in U.S. $ rose in the wrong season.
Since we are in Indonesia to buy gold / silver coins with the money amount, then the 'cloud' that can cause the rupiah fell sharply - at the exchange rate should be higher - among others, that the election process which seems to begin to accumulate criticism and protests. When the protests continued and a 'cloud' giants - the amount would be disrupted.
Nothing wrong with season although we are willing umbrella should be 'dry', 'heavy rain' could have appeared suddenly caused by a 'cloud' that global and local nature of the above. Wa Allahu A'lam.
